Personnel

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Research Interest

·  Climate change impacts on plant species distribution, functioning and life history traits: experiments and modeling.

·  Studying adaptation of plants to climate, especially phenology and correlated traits, through quantitative genetics experiments in common controlled environments.

·  Assessment and modeling of past phenology trends in the vegetation (XIX^th and XX^th centuries), and predictions of phenology change for the XXI^th century according to several climate change scenarios and climate models.

·  Reconstruction of temperature conditions over the last millennium using vine harvest dates and phenological models.

Research projects

• 2006-2008 « Phenological synchronisation and biological diversity, SYNCHRO », Program ANR Ecosphère continentale, Écologie pour la Gestion des Ecosystèmes et de leurs ressources, ECCO–ECOGER. Participant
• 2006-2008 «Phenological observations and European climate reconstruction, OPHELIE »,  program ANR blanche. Participant.
• 2006-2008 « Quantifying the effects of global environmental change on terrestrial plant diversity QDiv », program ANR Biodiversité. Participant
• 2004-2005 « Understanding and forecasting climate change impacts on the French flora », Program « Biodiversity and Global Change » of the French Institut for Biodiversity. Coordinator.
• 2004-2005 «Phénologie des essences forestières en France : constitution d’une base de données et modélisation”, programme de la Mission Changement climatique et effet de serre de l’INRA. Coordinator

Current responsibilities

• Director of the French Groupement de recherche 2968 Système d’information Phénologique pour la Gestion et l’Etude des Changements Climatiques. www.obs-saisons.fr/gdr.
• French Member of the managment comity for the COST Action 725 « The Use of Phenological Data for Climatological Purposes”.
• Member of the scientific comity of ENGREF- National Arboreta.
• Member of the scientific comity GIP ECOFOR « Typology of the French forest stations».

Awards

Pierre and Cyril Grivet price of the French Academy of Science in 2006.

Selected publications

• Morin X, Lechowicz MJ, Augspurger C, O Keefe J, Viner D, et I. Chuine (2009) Leaf phenology in 22 North American tree species during the 21st century. Global Change Biology. Sous presse.

• Garcia-Mozo H..; Galán C., Belmonte J., Bermejo D.; Candau P.; Díaz de la Guardia C.; Elvira B.; Gutierrez M.; Jato V.; Silva I.; del Mar Trigo M.; Valencia R., et I. Chuine (2009) Predicting the start and peak dates of the Poaceae pollen season in Spain using process-based models. Agricultural and Forest Meteorology, 149: 256-262.

• Morin X., D. Viner et I. Chuine (2008) Tree species range shifts at a continental scale: new predictive insights from a process-based model. Journal of Ecology, 96:784-794.

• Garcia-Mozo H, Orlandi F,Galan C, Fornaciari M, Romano B, Ruiz L, Diaz de la Guardia C, Trigo MM. et Chuine I. (2008) Olive flowering phenology variation between different cultivars in Spain and Italy: modelling analysis. Theoretical and Applied Climatology. DOI 10/1007/s00704-008-0016-6.

• Garcia-Mozo H., Chuine I., Aira M-J, Belmonte J., Bermejo D., Díaz de la Guardia C, Elvira B., Gutierrez M., Rodriguez-Rajo J., Ruiz L., del Mar Trigo M., Tormo R, Valencia R et Galan, C. (2008) Regional phenological models for forecasting the start and peak of the Quercus pollen season in Spain. Agricultural and Forest Management, 148(3): 372-380.

• Cleland E. E., I. Chuine, A. Menzel, H. A. Mooney et M. D. Schwartz. (2007) Changing plant phenology in response to climate change. TREE, 22(7): 357-365.

• Morin X., C. Augspurger, et I. Chuine (2007) Process-based modeling of tree species’ distributions. What limits temperate tree species’ range boundaries? Ecology, 88(9) : 2280-2291.

• Morin X., T. Améglio, R. Ahas, C. Kurz-Besson, V. Lanta, F. Lebourgeois, F. Miglietta, et I. Chuine (2007) Spatio-temporal variation of cold hardiness of three European tree species. Tree Physiology, 27:817-825.

• Morin, X. et Chuine I. (2006). Niche breadth, competitive strength and range size of tree species: a trade-off based framework to understand species distribution. Ecology Letters 9:185-195.

• Chuine I., G. E. Rehfeldt et S. Aitken. 2006. Height growth determinants and adaptation to temperature in pines: a case study of Pinus contorta and Pinus monticola. Can. J. For. Res. 36: 1059–1066.

• Morin X. et Chuine I. (2005) Sensitivity analysis of the tree distribution model Phenofit to climatic input characteristics: implications for climate impact assessment. Global change Biology, 11, 1493-1503.

• Chuine I., P. Yiou, N. Viovy, B. Seguin, V. Daux, et E. Le Roy Ladurie (2004) Grape ripening as an indicator of past climate. Nature 432:289-290.
• Chuine I. et J. Belmonte. (2004) Improving prophylaxis for pollen allergies: Predicting the time course of the pollen load of the atmosphere of major allergenic plants in Europe. GRANA, 43: 1-17.
• Chuine I., K. Kramer & H. Hänninen. (2003) Plant development models. In Phenology: An Integrative Environmental Science. M.D. Schwartz (ed.). Kluwer Academic Press. Pp 217-236.
• Chuine I., S. N. Aitken et C. C. Ying. (2001) Variation in threshold temperature produces genotype by environment interaction for growing season length in provenances of Pinus contorta. Canadian Journal of Forest Research, 31:1444-1455.
• Chuine I. et E. Beaubien (2001) Phenology is a major determinant of temperate tree distributions. Ecology Letters, 4: 500-510.
• Chuine I. A unified model for tree phenology (2000) Journal of Theoretical Biology, 207: 337-347.
•  Chuine I., G. Cambon et P. Comtois. Scaling phenology : advances from species-specific phenological models (2000) Global Change Biology, 6: 943-952.
•  Chuine I., J. Belmonte et A. Mignot (2000) A modelling analysis of the genetic variation of phenology between tree populations. Journal of Ecology, 88: 561-570.
• Osborne C., I. Chuine, D. Viner et F. I. Woodward (2000) Olive phenology as a sensitive indicator of future climatic warming in the Mediterranean. Plant, Cell & Environment, 23 : 701-710.
• Chuine I. et P. Cour (1999) Climatic determinants of budburst seasonality of temperate-zone trees. New Phytologist, 143 : 339-349.
• Chuine I., P. Cour et D. D. Rousseau (1999) Selecting models to predict the timing of flowering of temperate trees: implications for tree phenology modelling. Plant, Cell & Environment, 22 : 1-13.
• Chuine I., P. Cour et D. D. Rousseau (1998) Fitting models predicting the dates of flowering of temperate-zone tree species using simulating annealing. Plant, Cell & Environment, 21 : 455-466.